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Value at Risk (VaR)
Value at Risk (VaR) is a risk measure especially popular with Financial Institutions. It uses a statistical method to estimate the change in USD (or other base currency) value of a portfolio / strategy or securities i.e. value at risk. In Canopy we estimate the 1 day VaR with a 95% confidence level. The formula used is
where
1.65 = Z-Score for 95% percentile one-sided confidence interval
Daily Returns = Change in Value / Yesterday's Value
Portfolio Value = Value of securities in the portfolio (we exclude cash in the portfolio from this calculation)
Volatility
Volatility is a measure of variation of a trading price series over time. It can be calculated on individual securities or indices or on entire strategies. Canopy uses the methodology suggested by Motley Fool (and therefore we use Standard Deviation of Daily Returns and not log of P2/P1).